Lucky expats around the world continue to self-isolate in Paradise. Their mornings consist of Lying awake in bed gazing beyond their windows at perhaps some mountains, an infinity pool, or maybe even the Indian ocean. Then we finally realize there is still a pandemic outside and that your view is just a view if you’re lucky. In fact, most of us woke up to another yet another wave of disheartening news, confirming that the stealthy COVID-19 lingers over yonder. Prayers continue to go unanswered since Silence Day (Nyepi) and Bali remains silent.
A New Way Of Thinking
When your flights are cancelled and you find out it’s almost impossible to find a way back to your hometown, part of you says, “well at least I’m in paradise’. But, to tell you the truth, the views are the same anywhere unless you have a ocean view. While I isolate within the safety of walls with my family I check whatever media makes its way through our devices, the internet is our only link to whats going on beyond these walls. But, this morning I let the media get the best of me despite being the optimist. I read that the USA had at least 17,000 confirmed cases last weekend, but the actual number was probably somewhere between 60,000 to 250,000, since then as of Wednesday there were 54,000 confirmed cases, a pretty large margin if you ask me. The official case count is still unknown, but after looking just now the number of confirmed cases has climbed to 213,000 in the USA, infecting every state.
Just The Basic Facts
As I Continued to gather news from different sources, I also read that a recent analysis from the University of Pennsylvania estimated that even if social distancing measures can reduce infection rates by 95%, 960,000 Americans will still need intensive care. There are only about 180,000 ventilators in the U.S. and only enough respiratory therapist and critical care staff to look after 100,000 ventilated patients. If Trump continues this course, if Americans continue to social distance themselves, if testing is obtainable to everyone, and if enough masks can be manufactured, America might be able to avert the worst predictions about covid-19. At least temporarily or somewhat controlled like China or Singapore had done for a while, or though it seemed until another recent outbreak.
It will take all nations to simultaneously stop COVID-19 for this pandemic to truly end which seems impossible when you hear about countries who continue ignore the warnings or have no way of testing everyone for COVID-19. Or are they allowing the virus to take its course thinking the inevitable will happen anyway? It may seem like many countries will take this course soon which leads me to the worst-case scenario– Eventually, this flu will make it’s way through the world leaving only immune survivors and COVID-19 will have a harder time finding new hosts. This would be catastrophic, killing millions.
See How Your Community is Moving Around due To COVID-19
Google prepared this report to help you and public health officials understand responses to social distancing guidance related to COVID-19. This report shouldn’t be used for medical diagnostic, prognostic, or treatment purposes. It also isn’t intended to be used for guidance on personal travel plans. Location accuracy and the understanding of categorized places varies from region to region, so google doesn’t recommend using this data to compare changes between countries, or between regions with different characteristics (e.g. rural versus urban areas). Google will leave a region out of the report if they don’t have statistically significant levels of data. learn how google calculates these trends and preserve privacy, read About this data here
These Community Mobility Reports aim to provide insights into what has changed in response to policies aimed at combating COVID-19. The reports chart movement trends over time by geography, across different categories and pharmacies, parks, transit stations, workplaces, and residential.
When The Music’s Over
Will our world ever be the same again? Will Xenophobia cause nations and people to divide? Which Conspiracy theory will resurface next? Who will we blame for all this? Should we point our fingers at the Chinese and their appetite for exotic animals? Italy for ignoring the social distance warnings? Sweden for thinking IKEA makes them invincible? Or Donald Trump for…….
Bali has all it’s eggs in one basket
What will Bali be like when the government tells its nation it’s safe to go outside and play again? How long will it take for things to return to normal? Will Bali’s economy that is so dependent on tourism be able to bounce back? While Bali has stood the test of time against, natural disasters, and even terrorism, this is a lot different. This is a PANDEMIC, not an epidemic. It will take all nations to simultaneously stop the virus before people travel again.
On A Positive Note
‘The lack of testing, failure to keep a social distance, the recovered still wheezing and gasping for air. In addition, economies are collapsing, unemployment is skyrocketing, and so on. However, with all these negative effects of the Coronavirus there will always (or at least usually) be some positives.
Some of the positives are:
- Governments will re-evaluate methodologies used to handle pandemics. Creating better methods to prevent future pandemics or epidemics. ending up with the same outcome we have today.
- Corporations may rethink their supply chains. They may start manufacturing locally as well
- The environment may recover, even if it’s only for a short while. People and businesses will reduce their travel and rely more on technology. Working from home will become the new norm, and employers may convert to this new system which will give everyone more enjoyment in their lives.
- Anti-vaxers may reconsider their views.
- People and establishments around the world will improve their personal hygiene. Hopefully, they’ll continue to wash their hands well and maybe we’ll see less spreading of colds and flu.